Game Result Predictions
Friday, February 15
The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Johnson City, TN | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Iona (14-38, Road 8-22) |
3 | 2 | +5.0 | 33% | 9 | ✔ | 0 | +7.0 | 15% | ✔ | |
|
East Tennessee State (34-21, Home 22-9) |
4 | 7 | -5.0 | 67% | Actual: 7 (-2) |
7 | -7.0 | 85% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Greenville, SC | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Morehead State (40-21, Road 11-17) |
6 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | 13 | ✔ | 6 | -0.5 | 54% | ✔ | |
|
Furman (26-31, Home 15-13) |
3 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | Actual: 9 (-4) |
5 | +0.5 | 46% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Macon, GA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Evansville (24-29, Road 11-19) |
4 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | 10 | ✔ | 2 | +4.5 | 25% | ✔ | |
|
Mercer (35-29, Home 18-13) |
5 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 9 (-1) |
7 | -4.5 | 75% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Tampa, FL | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Samford (41-19, Road 14-10) |
4 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | 9 | ✔ | 3 | +0.5 | 51% | ✔ | |
|
South Florida (26-27, Home 20-12) |
7 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 11 (2) |
4 | -0.5 | 49% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Charleston, SC | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Delaware State (20-25, Road 8-14) |
3 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 11 | ✔ | 6 | -2.0 | 64% | ✔ | |
|
The Citadel (12-43, Home 10-17) |
1 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | Actual: 4 (-7) |
4 | +2.0 | 36% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Greensboro, NC | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Quinnipiac (30-29, Road 15-20) |
5 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | 12 | ✔ | 5 | +2.0 | 39% | ✔ | |
|
UNCG (34-20, Home 24-7) |
12 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 17 (5) |
7 | -2.0 | 61% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| UNCW Tournament - Wilmington, NC | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
VMI (17-41, Road 6-18) |
2 | 4 | +4.0 | 36% | 12 | ✔ | 3 | +5.0 | 23% | ✔ | |
|
UNCW (32-31, Home 17-16) |
5 | 8 | -4.0 | 64% | Actual: 7 (-5) |
8 | -5.0 | 77% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| UNCW Tournament - Wilmington, NC | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Saint Joseph's (21-28, Neutral 4-9) |
3 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 12 | ✘ | 6 | -0.5 | 54% | ✘ | |
|
VMI (17-41, Neutral 2-2) |
9 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | Actual: 12 (0) |
5 | +0.5 | 46% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Cullowhee, NC | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Oakland (11-37, Road 8-31) |
9 | 6 | +4.0 | 36% | 16 | ✔ | 6 | +3.0 | 32% | ✔ | |
|
Western Carolina (21-32, Home 11-14) |
21 | 10 | -4.0 | 64% | Actual: 30 (14) |
9 | -3.0 | 68% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Spartanburg, SC | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Ohio (20-34, Road 9-19) |
0 | 4 | +4.0 | 36% | 12 | ✔ | 4 | +4.0 | 28% | ✔ | |
|
Wofford (36-25, Home 22-13) |
2 | 8 | -4.0 | 64% | Actual: 2 (-10) |
8 | -4.0 | 72% | |||